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Texas, Oklahoma, and the ACC Will Not Trigger Four 16-Team Super Conferences

September 19, 2011 Leave a comment

Only the Irish can trigger monumental realignment

 

There are a lot of unimaginative people out there who have prophesied about the day when four 16-team super conferences will rule the college landscape. This writer is here to tell you to not believe the hype. There will not be a super conference consolidation Armageddon.

Sure, the ACC is going in the direction of forming a 16-team conference and the Pac-12 is on the verge of becoming the Pac-16. But where is the other “super” expansion going to come from? Each of these conferences actually has an academic mandate as well. The Big Ten, for instance, seeks state universities with high academic standards. That means they won’t be in the market for just any school. Sure, Notre Dame will always have that open invite, but the Big Ten won’t be inviting Louisville or Cincinnati to the party anytime soon.

In fact, the pool of potential Big Ten acquisitions has really shrunk with the Big East defections of Syracuse and Pittsburgh, as both were previously mentioned and, possibly, considered for the Big Ten. Also, if UConn and Rutgers follow those schools to the ACC, then the Big Ten is extremely limited in their ability to expand eastward. Without a potential New York City market school, the Big Ten would be forced to look west.

But what schools would fill the Big Ten’s profile in the West? Possibly Missouri and Kansas. But Kansas would probably require that Kansas State join them as a package deal. That certainly would be a no-go as the Kansas City market isn’t that big to begin with. Remember, the biggest motivation for the Big Ten to expand to 16 would be to add more lucrative television markets. Kansas and Kansas State only bring Kansas City and that is shared with Missouri. As a result, the Big Ten will likely remain at 12 schools, unless they add Missouri and are able to convince Notre Dame to join.

The SEC will be at 13 schools when Texas A&M officially joins the conference. The SEC has already indicated that adding a 14th school will be on the agenda once A&M joins. But the ACC just increased the departure fees for its member schools to $20M and, with a round 16, are probably safe from being raided.

Like the Big Ten, the SEC wants to focus on the large, flagship state universities and land grant schools. Unless Kentucky wants Louisville to join and the SEC makes an exception there, the Cardinals are probably left out of that potential expansion as well. West Virginia is the more likely Big East school to join the SEC, especially if they aren’t included in the ACC expansion. Missouri would be another potential candidate if the SEC wants to continue their western expansion. But for the SEC to get to 16, they would have to take a regional public school, like Louisville or South and Central Florida, or continue to expand west and bring on the Kansas schools with Missouri. See how crazy these scenarios are getting?

What is probably going to happen is that the SEC will find a 14th school to give them two 7 school divisions. The Big Ten will remain at 12 schools for the foreseeable future. The ACC will add two more Big East schools to complete their expansion at 16. The Pac-16 will be formed with Texas and Oklahoma bringing their in-state rivals, Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. That leaves the remnants of the Big East and Big 12 to join in either a loose confederation where the two conference champions meet for a BCS bid or the remaining Big East football schools leave for the Big 12. The latter is the more probable outcome.

That would leave a new Big 12 with Baylor, TCU, Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri, Iowa State, Louisville, Cincinnati, and South Florida. They would probably look to add three more schools to return to the 12-school alignment and qualify for a conference championship game. BYU, Houston, SMU, Memphis, and Central Florida would have to be the leading candidates for the three spots. Long shot possibilities would include Air Force, UTEP, New Mexico, Colorado State, UNLV, Wyoming, and Boise State in the West and new FBS school, Massachusetts, and Temple in the East. Those two eastern schools both play in NFL stadiums and would bring exposure in two major metropolitan markets.

If the Big East loses their football schools, that won’t be that bad. The Big East will remain a viable and highly competitive basketball conference nationally, like they were for the first ten years of the league. With Georgetown, St. John’s, Seton Hall, Villanova, Providence, Marquette, DePaul and Notre Dame, they would have five schools that competed in last season’s men’s basketball tournament. With eight schools, they could easily expand by one or two and play a full round-robin schedule that is more conducive to college basketball.

Two schools that would have to be on the newly configured Big East’s list would be Xavier and Dayton from the Atlantic 10. Both are private schools and can help bridge the geographical gap between the East Coast and the Chicago region schools. That would leave the Big East as a very formidable hoops league.

While all of the realignment speculation is exciting, there probably won’t be as much as anticipated due to the factors that were laid out.

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Big 12 Basketball Overview March 6

Big 12 Basketball Overview March 6

Team Overviews: Records are going into March 6th. RPI is courtesy of rpiforecast.com.

Current NCAA Locks:

Kansas Jayhawks RPI 1

  • 29-2, 14-2 in Big 12  Away: 9-1  Neutral: 3-0
  • OOC rundown: 15-0 with good wins over Arizona, UCLA, USC, and Michigan. They also have 4 gimme wins. RPI 2, schedule 31.
  • Big 12: Wins: at ISU, Neb, at Bay, at CU, KSU, at TT, at Neb, Mizz, ISU, CU, OSU, at OU, A&M, at Mizz     Losses: Tex, at KSU
  • They Jayhawks are probably a lock for a 1 seed and might be the overall #1 seed if they win the Big 12 tournament.

Texas Longhorns RPI 13

  • 25-6, 13-3 in Big 12   Away: 8-3   Neutral: 1-1
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with good wins over Illinois, North Carolina, and Michigan St and losses to Pitt, USC, and UConn. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 36, schedule 69.
  • Big 12: Wins: at TT, OU, A&M, at KU, at Ok St, Mizz, at A&M, TT, at OU, Bay, OSU, ISU, at Bay  Losses: at Neb, at CU, KSU
  • The Horns probably need to win the Big 12 tournament to get a 2 seed. They probably need to win twice to ensure a 3 seed. Losing their first game drops them to a 4 seed.

Kansas State Wildcats RPI 17

  • 22-9, 10-6 in Big 12  Away: 5-6  Neutral: 0-0
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with wins over Virginia Tech, Gonzaga, and Wash St with losses to Duke, Florida, and UNLV. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 25, schedule 34.
  • Big 12: Wins: TT, Bay, Neb, at ISU, KU, OUat, at Neb, Mizz, at Tex, ISU  Losses: at OSU, CU, at Mizz, at A&M, at KU, at CU
  • The Wildcats can get a 4 seed if they win the Big 12 tournament. Getting to the finals would get them a 5 seed and going 1-1 would probably keep them as a 6 seed.

Texas A&M Aggies RPI 30

  • 23-7, 10-6 in Big 12  Away: 5-4  Neutral: 3-1
  • OOC rundown: 13-1 solid wins over Temple and Washington and a decent loss to BC. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 43, schedule 214.
  • Big 12: Wins: at OU, OSU, Mizz, KSU, at CU, at TT, ISU, at OSU, OU, TT   Losses: at Tex, at Neb, Tex, Bay, at Bay, at KU
  • The Aggies could make it to a 5 seed if they win the Big 12 tournament. Getting to the finals would get them a 6 seed. Going 1-1 will get them a 7 seed and losing their opener could drop them to an 8 to 10 seed.

Missouri Tigers RPI 34

  • 22-9, 8-8 in Big 12  Away: 2-7  Neutral: 3-0
  • OOC rundown: 14-1 with good wins over Vanderbilt, Illinois, and Old Dominion with a solid loss to Georgetown. They also have 6 gimme wins and a non division I win. RPI 51, schedule 237.
  • Big 12: Wins: Neb, KSU, ISU, CU, OU, TT, at ISU, Bay   Losses: at CU, at A&M, at Tex, at OSU, at KU, at KSU, at Neb, KU
  • It will be interesting to see what happens if the Tigers lose to Texas Tech. They’re probably in, but you never know. They need to win 2 games to ensure a single digit seed. Winning 3 games to get to the Big 12 finals would get them as high as a 7 seed, but most likely in an 8-9 game. Winning the Big 12 tournament could send them as high as a 6 seed.

 

Bubble Territory:

Colorado Buffaloes RPI 76

  • 19-12, 8-8 in Big 12  Away: 3-9  Neutral: 1-1
  • OOC rundown: 11-4 with no notable wins. They also have 8 gimme wins and a non-division I win. RPI 151, schedule 321.
  • Big 12: Wins: Mizz, at KSU, OSU, ISU, KSU, at TT, Tex  Losses: at Neb, at OU, KU, at Bay, at Mizz, A&M, at KU
  • The Buffs need to win their last 2 games and then at least 2 more in the Big 12 tournament to get an at-large. Their OOC profile is too bad for anything less.

 

Needs To Get Hot:

Oklahoma State Cowboys RPI 64

  • 18-12, 6-10 in Big 12  Away: 2-9  Neutral: 2-1
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with Missouri State being the only solid win and losses to Gonzaga and Virginia Tech. They also have 5 gimme wins. RPI 49, schedule 190.
  • Big 12: Wins: KSU, ISU, Mizz, OU, TT, Bay      Losses: at A&M, at CU, at Bay, Tex, at TT, at Neb, at Tex, A&M, at KU, at OU
  • The Cowboys probably have to play in the Big 12 finals to have an at-large chance. That would include a win over Kansas. That might be good enough.

Nebraska Cornhuskers RPI 78

  • 19-11, 7-9 in Big 12  Away: 1-7  Neutral: 1-2
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with a win over USC and losses to Vanderbilt and Davidson. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 119, schedule 291.
  • Big 12: Wins: ISU, CU, A&M, OSU, at OU, Tex, Mizz      Losses: at Mizz, at KU, at TT, at KSU, KU, at Bay, at CU
  • The Huskers match up against OSU and probably need similar results. Having wins over Texas and Kansas might impress the committee enough.

Baylor Bears RPI 83

  • 18-12, 7-9 in Big 12  Away: 2-6  Neutral: 1-2
  • OOC rundown: 10-3 with no notable wins and decent losses to Gonzaga, Washington State, and Florida State. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 110, schedule 196.
  • Big 12: Wins: at TT, OU, OSU, CU, at A&M, Neb, A&M     Losses: at ISU, KU, at KSU, at OU, at Tex, at Mizz, at OSU, Tex
  • The Bears have to make the Big 12 finals to have a chance. Even wins over Texas and A&M along the way might not be enough.

 

Better Win the Conference Tournament:

Iowa State Cyclones RPI 127

  • 16-15, 3-13 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-2 with decent wins over Creighton and Virginia and losses to Northern Iowa and Cal. They also have 9 gimme wins. RPI 112, schedule 311.
  • The Mayor not even get an invite to the CBI.

Oklahoma Sooners RPI 133

  • 13-17, 5-11 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-6 with no good wins and a horrible loss to Chaminade. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 157, schedule 198.
  • Capel might start next season on the hot seat.

Texas Tech Red Raiders RPI 159

  • 13-18, 5-11 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-7 with no good wins and some bad losses. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 240, schedule 257.
  • Did Knight do enough to save his job? Billy Gillespie is the rumored replacement.

Make sure you check in every morning for a review of the previous day’s games on the Road to Selection Sunday.

Big 12 Basketball Overview February 27

February 27, 2011 Leave a comment

Big 12 Basketball Overview February 27

Team Overviews: Records are going into February 28th. RPI is courtesy of rpiforecast.com.

Current NCAA Locks:

Kansas Jayhawks RPI 2

  • 27-2, 12-2 in Big 12  Away: 8-1
  • OOC rundown: 15-0 with good wins over Arizona, UCLA, USC, and Michigan. They also have 4 gimme wins. RPI 2, schedule 32.
  • Big 12: Wins: at ISU, Neb, at Bay, at CU, KSU, at TT, at Neb, Mizz, ISU, CU, OSU, at OU     Losses: Tex, at KSU
  • They Jayhawks need 4 more total wins to secure one of the four #1 seeds in the Big Dance.

Texas Longhorns RPI 9

  • 24-5, 12-2 in Big 12   Away: 7-3
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with good wins over Illinois, North Carolina, and Michigan St and losses to Pitt, USC, and UConn. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 34, schedule 62.
  • Big 12: Wins: at TT, OU, A&M, at KU, at Ok St, Mizz, at A&M, TT, at OU, Bay, OSU, ISU  Losses: at Neb, at CU
  • The Horns are still in the running for a #1 seed but need to run the table. They probably get a #2 seed with 3 or more wins.

Texas A&M Aggies RPI 29

  • 22-6, 9-5 in Big 12  Away: 5-3
  • OOC rundown: 13-1 solid wins over Temple and Washington and a decent loss to BC. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 37, schedule 195.
  • Big 12: Wins: at OU, OSU, Mizz, KSU, at CU, at TT, ISU, at OSU, OU   Losses: at Tex, at Neb, Tex, Bay, at Bay
  • The Aggies have a decent OOC profile and but still need at least 4 more wins to get a 6 or 7 seed.

Missouri Tigers RPI 28

  • 22-7, 8-6 in Big 12  Away: 2-6
  • OOC rundown: 14-1 with good wins over Vanderbilt, Illinois, and Old Dominion with a solid loss to Georgetown. They also have 6 gimme wins and a non division I win. RPI 50, schedule 228.
  • Big 12: Wins: Neb, KSU, ISU, CU, OU, TT, at ISU, Bay   Losses: at CU, at A&M, at Tex, at OSU, at KU, at KSU
  • Paging Tiger road wins. They only have 2 all season. They still need 2 or more wins to be safe on Selection Sunday. If they can get hot and win at least 4 more, the Tigers can move into a 5 or 6 seed.

Kansas State Wildcats RPI 24

  • 20-9, 8-6 in Big 12  Away: 4-6
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with wins over Virginia Tech, Gonzaga, and Wash St with losses to Duke, Florida, and UNLV. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 23, schedule 30.
  • Big 12: Wins: TT, Bay, Neb, at ISU, KU, OUat, at Neb, Mizz  Losses: at OSU, CU, at Mizz, at A&M, at KU, at CU
  • The hot Wildcats are now playing for a seed. They still need 2 more win to be safe, but they can climb to a 4 or 5 seed with at least 4 more wins.

 

Bubble Territory:

Baylor Bears RPI 74

  • 18-10, 7-7 in Big 12  Away: 2-5
  • OOC rundown: 10-3 with no notable wins and decent losses to Gonzaga, Washington State, and Florida State. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 114, schedule 204.
  • Big 12: Wins: at TT, OU, OSU, CU, at A&M, Neb, A&M     Losses: at ISU, KU, at KSU, at OU, at Tex, at Mizz
  • The Bears have to beat Texas on Saturday to have a chance. The Bears have to win at least 3 more games to be secure on Selection Sunday.

Oklahoma State Cowboys RPI 62

  • 17-11, 5-9 in Big 12  Away: 2-8
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with Missouri State being the only solid win and losses to Gonzaga and Virginia Tech. They also have 5 gimme wins. RPI 51, schedule 194.
  • Big 12: Wins: KSU, ISU, Mizz, OU, TT      Losses: at A&M, at CU, at Bay, Tex, at TT, at Neb, at Tex, A&M, at KU
  • The Cowboys are close to done, unless the committee decides to choose mediocre power conference teams over solid mid-majors. They need to win at least 3 more games to be secure on Selection Sunday.

 

Needs To Get Hot:

Colorado Buffaloes RPI 76

  • 18-11, 7-7 in Big 12  Away: 3-8
  • OOC rundown: 11-4 with no notable wins. They also have 8 gimme wins and a non-division I win. RPI 148, schedule 322.
  • Big 12: Wins: Mizz, at KSU, OSU, ISU, KSU, at TT, Tex  Losses: at Neb, at OU, KU, at Bay, at Mizz, A&M, at KU
  • The Buffs need to win their last 2 games and then at least 2 more in the Big 12 tournament to get an at-large. Their OOC profile is too bad for anything less.

 

Better Win the Conference Tournament:

Nebraska Cornhuskers RPI 82

  • 18-10, 6-8 in Big 12  Away: 1-6
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with a win over USC and losses to Vanderbilt and Davidson. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 118, schedule 295.
  • Big 12: Wins: ISU, CU, A&M, OSU, at OU, Tex      Losses: at Mizz, at KU, at TT, at KSU, KU, at Bay
  • The Huskers now need to win the Big 12 tournament. They played no OOC road games and thus have no OOC road wins.

Iowa State Cyclones RPI 137

  • 15-14, 2-12 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-2 with decent wins over Creighton and Virginia and losses to Northern Iowa and Cal. They also have 9 gimme wins. RPI 115, schedule 319.
  • The Mayor not even get an invite to the CBI.

Oklahoma Sooners RPI 132

  • 12-16, 4-10 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-6 with no good wins and a horrible loss to Chaminade. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 167, schedule 210.
  • A winning record makes them NIT eligible and the RPI is moving up into range for a bid.

Texas Tech Red Raiders RPI 159

  • 12-17, 4-10 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-7 with no good wins and some bad losses. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 238, schedule 254.
  • Pat Knight might save his job with 6 or 7 Big 12 wins.

That’s this week’s Big 12 overview. This will be updated next week.

Make sure you check in every morning for a review of the previous day’s games on the Road to Selection Sunday.

Big 12 Basketball Overview February 20

February 20, 2011 Leave a comment

Big 12 Basketball Overview February 20

Team Overviews: Records are going into February 21st. RPI is courtesy of rpiforecast.com.

Current NCAA Locks:

Kansas Jayhawks RPI 1

  • 25-2, 10-2 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 15-0 with good wins over Arizona, UCLA, USC, and Michigan. They also have 4 gimme wins. RPI 2, schedule 28.
  • Big 12: Wins: at ISU, Neb, at Bay, at CU, KSU, at TT, at Neb, Mizz, ISU, CU     Losses: Tex, at KSU
  • They Jayhawks need 5 more total wins to secure one of the four #1 seeds in the Big Dance.

Texas Longhorns RPI 7

  • 23-4, 11-1 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with good wins over Illinois, North Carolina, and Michigan St and losses to Pitt, USC, and UConn. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 39, schedule 68.
  • Big 12: Wins: at TT, OU, A&M, at KU, at Ok St, Mizz, at A&M, TT, at OU, Bay, OSU  Losses: at Neb
  • The Horns are still in the running for a #1 seed. Getting 5 more wins will put them in the discussion. They probably have to beat out Kansas in the standings to get that #1, otherwise they are heading to a #2 seed with 4 or more wins.

Texas A&M Aggies RPI 26

  • 21-5, 8-4 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-1 solid wins over Temple and Washington and a decent loss to BC. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 40, schedule 204.
  • Big 12: Wins: at OU, OSU, Mizz, KSU, at CU, at TT, ISU, at OSU   Losses: at Tex, at Neb, Tex, Bay
  • The Aggies have a decent OOC profile and but still need at least 5 more wins to get a Sweet 16 seed.

Missouri Tigers RPI 28

  • 21-6, 7-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 14-1 with good wins over Vanderbilt, Illinois, and Old Dominion with a solid loss to Georgetown. They also have 6 gimme wins and a non division I win. RPI 43, schedule 219.
  • Big 12: Wins: Neb, KSU, ISU, CU, OU, TT, at ISU   Losses: at CU, at A&M, at Tex, at OSU, at KU
  • The Tigers finally got their second road win of the entire season. They need another 5 or more wins to be in the Sweet 16 discussion. They still need 2 or more wins to be safe on Selection Sunday.

Bubble Territory:

Kansas State Wildcats RPI 29

  • 18-9, 6-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with wins over Virginia Tech, Gonzaga, and Wash St with losses to Duke, Florida, and UNLV. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 25, schedule 44.
  • Big 12: Wins: TT, Bay, Neb, at ISU, KU, OU   Losses: at OSU, CU, at Mizz, at A&M, at KU, at CU
  • Big win over KU on Monday gets the Cats back into the hunt for a decent seed. They can probably be safe on Selection Sunday with 3 more wins, but they need 4 to be sure.

Needs To Get Hot:

Oklahoma State Cowboys RPI 62

  • 16-10, 4-8 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with Missouri State being the only solid win and losses to Gonzaga and Virginia Tech. They also have 5 gimme wins. RPI 51, schedule 197.
  • Big 12: Wins: KSU, ISU, Mizz, OU      Losses: at A&M, at CU, at Bay, Tex, at TT, at Neb, at Tex, A&M
  • The Cowboys are close to done, unless the committee decides to choose mediocre power conference teams over solid mid-majors. They need to win at least 5 more games to be secure on Selection Sunday.

Baylor Bears RPI 79

  • 17-9, 6-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 10-3 with no notable wins and decent losses to Gonzaga, Washington State, and Florida State. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 120, schedule 216.
  • Big 12: Wins: at TT, OU, OSU, CU, at A&M, Neb Losses: at ISU, KU, at KSU, at OU, at Tex
  • The Bears have 3 games against Texas, A&M, and Mizzou. They need a minimum of 2 more wins in those games. The Bears have to win at least 5 more games to be secure on Selection Sunday.

Nebraska Cornhuskers RPI 64

  • 18-8, 6-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with a win over USC and losses to Vanderbilt and Davidson. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 123, schedule 310.
  • Big 12: Wins: ISU, CU, A&M, OSU, at OU, Tex      Losses: at Mizz, at KU, at TT, at KSU, KU, at Bay
  • Great win over Texas on Saturday. The horrible bubble is driving their chances. The Huskers still need at least 5 more wins to be secure on Selection Sunday.

Colorado Buffaloes RPI 93

  • 16-11, 5-7 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 11-4 with no notable wins. They also have 8 gimme wins and a non-division I win. RPI 149, schedule 322.
  • Big 12: Wins: Mizz, at KSU, OSU, ISU, KSU  Losses: at Neb, at OU, KU, at Bay, at Mizz, A&M, at KU
  • The Buffs still get Texas. They need to win out until the Big 12 tournament final to have a chance. Their OOC profile is too bad to give them a reasonable chance.

 

Better Win the Conference Tournament:

Iowa State Cyclones RPI 147

  • 14-13, 1-11 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-2 with decent wins over Creighton and Virginia and losses to Northern Iowa and Cal. They also have 9 gimme wins. RPI 114, schedule 321.
  • The Mayor not even get an invite to the CBI.

Oklahoma Sooners RPI 132

  • 12-14, 4-8 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-6 with no good wins and a horrible loss to Chaminade. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 174, schedule 217.
  • A winning record makes them NIT eligible and the RPI is moving up into range for a bid.

Texas Tech Red Raiders RPI 139

  • 12-15, 4-8 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-7 with no good wins and some bad losses. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 231, schedule 232.
  • Pat Knight might save his job with 6 or 7 Big 12 wins.

That’s this week’s Big 12 overview. This will be updated next week.

Make sure you check in every morning for a review of the previous day’s games on the Road to Selection Sunday.

Big 12 Basketball Overview February 13

February 13, 2011 Leave a comment

Big 12 Basketball Overview February 13

Team Overviews: Records are going into February 14th. RPI is courtesy of rpiforecast.com.

Current NCAA Locks:

Kansas Jayhawks RPI 1

  • 24-1, 9-1 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 15-0 with good wins over Arizona, UCLA, USC, and Michigan. They also have 4 gimme wins. RPI 3, schedule 37.
  • Big 12: Wins: at ISU, Neb, at Bay, at CU, KSU, at TT, at Neb, Mizz, ISU     Losses: Tex
  • They Jayhawks need 6 more total wins to secure one of the four #1 seeds in the Big Dance.

Texas Longhorns RPI 7

  • 22-3, 10-0 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with good wins over Illinois, North Carolina, and Michigan St and losses to Pitt, USC, and UConn. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 33, schedule 71.
  • Big 12: Wins: at TT, OU, A&M, at KU, at Ok St, Mizz, at A&M, TT, at OU, Bay
  • The Horns are still in the running for a #1 seed. Getting 6 more wins will put them in the discussion. They probably have to beat out Kansas in the standings to get that #1, otherwise they are heading to a #2 seed with 7 or more wins.

Texas A&M Aggies RPI 29

  • 19-5, 6-4 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-1 solid wins over Temple and Washington and a decent loss to BC. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 38, schedule 210.
  • Big 12: Wins: at OU, OSU, Mizz, KSU, at CU, at TT   Losses: at Tex, at Neb, Tex, Bay
  • Nice bounce back week for the Aggies. The Aggies have a decent OOC profile and but still need at least 6 more wins to get a Sweet 16 seed.

Missouri Tigers RPI 27

  • 19-6, 5-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 14-1 with good wins over Vanderbilt, Illinois, and Old Dominion with a solid loss to Georgetown. They also have 6 gimme wins and a non division I win. RPI 39, schedule 218.
  • Big 12: Wins: Neb, KSU, ISU, CU, OU   Losses: at CU, at A&M, at Tex, at OSU, at KU
  • The Tigers are still searching for their second road win of the entire season. They’re also winless on the road in the Big 12. They need another 7 or more wins to be in the Sweet 16 discussion. They still need 4 or more wins to be safe on Selection Sunday.

Bubble Territory:

Kansas State Wildcats RPI 37

  • 16-9, 4-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with wins over Virginia Tech, Gonzaga, and Wash St with losses to Duke, Florida, and UNLV. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 26, schedule 49.
  • Big 12: Wins: TT, Bay, Neb, at ISU   Losses: at OSU, CU, at Mizz, at A&M, at KU, at CU
  • Tough loss to Colorado on a game winning shot that was disallowed. They need to be .500 in the Big 12 to give them a shot. They can probably be safe on Selection Sunday with 5 more wins, but they need 6 to be sure.

Oklahoma State Cowboys RPI 56

  • 16-8, 4-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with Missouri State being the only solid win and losses to Gonzaga and Virginia Tech. They also have 5 gimme wins. RPI 51, schedule 199.
  • Big 12: Wins: KSU, ISU, Mizz, OU      Losses: at A&M, at CU, at Bay, Tex, at TT, at Neb
  • The Cowboys must get to .500 in the Big 12 to have a chance. They need to win at least 6 more games to be secure on Selection Sunday.

 

Needs To Get Hot:

Baylor Bears RPI 63

  • 16-8, 6-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 10-3 with no notable wins and decent losses to Gonzaga, Washington State, and Florida State. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 124, schedule 242.
  • Big 12: Wins: at TT, OU, OSU, CU, at A&M, Neb Losses: at ISU, KU, at KSU, at OU, at Tex
  • The Bears now have 3 games against Texas, A&M, and Mizzou. They need a minimum of 2 more wins in those games. They need to get to 10-6 or better and win a game in the Big 12 tourney. That could change with all of the mediocrity on the bubble, but it’s not going to be easy.

Nebraska Cornhuskers RPI 89

  • 16-8, 4-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with a win over USC and losses to Vanderbilt and Davidson. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 126, schedule 322.
  • Big 12: Wins: ISU, CU, A&M, OSU      Losses: at Mizz, at KU, at TT, at KSU, KU, at Bay
  • With the bubble being what it is, the Huskers could probably lose once and then run to the Big 12 finals and get an at-large bid even though their OOC schedule was a complete joke.

Colorado Buffaloes RPI 94

  • 16-10, 5-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 11-4 with no notable wins. They also have 8 gimme wins and a non-division I win. RPI 141, schedule 311.
  • Big 12: Wins: Mizz, at KSU, OSU, ISU, KSU  Losses: at Neb, at OU, KU, at Bay, at Mizz, A&M
  • The Buffs get Texas and Kansas still. They might have to beat both,  get to 10 Big 12 wins and win a game or two in the Big 12 tourney to have a chance. Their OOC profile is too bad to give them a reasonable chance.

 

Better Win the Conference Tournament:

Iowa State Cyclones RPI 139

  • 14-11, 1-9 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-2 with decent wins over Creighton and Virginia and losses to Northern Iowa and Cal. They also have 9 gimme wins. RPI 111, schedule 320.
  • They essentially need to win the Big 12 tourney.

Oklahoma Sooners RPI 122

  • 12-12, 4-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-6 with no good wins and a horrible loss to Chaminade. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 186, schedule 246.
  • A winning record makes them NIT eligible and the RPI is moving up into range for a bid.

Texas Tech Red Raiders RPI 150

  • 11-14, 3-7 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-7 with no good wins and some bad losses. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 224, schedule 215.
  • Pat Knight might save his job with 6 or 7 Big 12 wins.

That’s this week’s Big 12 overview. This will be updated next week.

Make sure you check in every morning for a review of the previous day’s games on the Road to Selection Sunday.

Big 12 Basketball Overview February 6

Big 12 Basketball Overview February 6

Team Overviews: Records are going into February 7th. RPI is courtesy of rpiforecast.com.

Current NCAA Locks:

Kansas Jayhawks RPI 2

  • 22-1, 7-1 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 15-0 with good wins over Arizona, UCLA, USC, and Michigan. They also have 4 gimme wins. RPI 3, schedule 39.
  • Big 12: Wins: at Iowa St, Neb, at Bay, at Colo, Kan St, at Tex Tech, at Neb     Losses: Tex
  • They Jayhawks need 8 more total wins to secure one of the four #1 seeds in the Big Dance. It will take at least 4 more losses to drop them below a Sweet 16 seed.  

Texas Longhorns RPI 6

  • 20-3, 8-0 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with good wins over Illinois, North Carolina, and Michigan St and losses to Pitt, USC, and UConn. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 35, schedule 68.
  • Big 12: Wins: at Tech, Okla, A&M, at KU, at Ok St, Mizz, @A&M, Tech
  • The Horns are still in the running for a #1 seed. Getting 8 more wins will put them in the discussion. They might have to beat out Kansas to get that #1, otherwise they are heading to a #2 seed with 7 or more wins.

Texas A&M Aggies RPI 32

  • 17-5, 4-4 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-1 solid wins over Temple and Washington and a decent loss to BC. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 38, schedule 210.
  • Big 12: Wins: at Okla, Okla St, Mizz, Kan St   Losses: at Tex, at Neb, Tex, Bay
  • The Aggies are now reeling after losing 3 in a row. This week’s road games are huge as they’re games the Aggies should win. The Aggies have a decent OOC profile and but still need at least 8 more wins to get a Sweet 16 seed.

Missouri Tigers RPI 31

  • 18-5, 4-4 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 14-1 with good wins over Vanderbilt, Illinois, and Old Dominion with a solid loss to Georgetown. They also have 6 gimme wins and a non division I win. RPI 47, schedule 229.
  • Big 12: Wins: Neb, Kan St, Iowa St, Col   Losses: at Col, at A&M, at Tex, at Ok St
  • The Tigers need to start winning on the road and at Kansas on Monday would be a great win. They need another 8 or more wins to be in the Sweet 16 discussion. They still need 6 or more to be safe on Selection Sunday.

Bubble Territory:

Kansas State Wildcats RPI 29

  • 16-8, 4-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with wins over Virginia Tech, Gonzaga, and Wash St with losses to Duke, Florida, and UNLV. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 26, schedule 52.
  • Big 12: Wins: Tech, Bay, Neb, at Iowa St   Losses: at Ok St, Col, at Mizz, at A&M, at KU
  • Solid rebound week as they creep towards .500. They can probably be safe on Selection Sunday with 6 more wins, but they need 7 to be sure.

Oklahoma State Cowboys RPI 47

  • 16-7, 4-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with Missouri State being the only solid win and losses to Gonzaga and Virginia Tech. They also have 5 gimme wins. RPI 44, schedule 170.
  • Big 12: Wins: Kan St, Iowa St, Mizz, Okla       Losses: at A&M, at Col, at Bay, Tex, at Tech
  • The Cowboys are creeping back to .500 as well. They need to win at least 6 more games to be secure on Selection Sunday.

 

Needs To Get Hot:

Baylor Bears RPI 77

  • 15-7, 5-4 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 10-3 with no notable wins and decent losses to Gonzaga, Washington State, and Florida State. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 131, schedule 263.
  • Big 12: Wins: at Tech, Okla, Ok St, Col, at A&M    Losses: at Iowa St, KU, at Kan St, at Okla
  • The Bears now have 4 games against Texas, A&M, and Mizzou. They need a minimum of 2 more wins in those games. They need to get to 10-6 or better and win a game in the Big 12 tourney. It’s not going to be easy.

Nebraska Cornhuskers RPI 92

  • 15-7, 3-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with a win over USC and losses to Vanderbilt and Davidson. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 126, schedule 322.
  • Big 12: Wins: Iowa St, Col, A&M Losses: at Mizz, at KU, at Tech, at Kan St, KU
  • The Huskers are about done. They probably need to have their next loss in the Big 12 semis or final. Their OOC schedule was a complete joke and the Huskers need at least 9 more wins to have a chance.

Colorado Buffaloes RPI 87

  • 15-9, 4-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 11-4 with no notable wins. They also have 8 gimme wins and a non-division I win. RPI 141, schedule 310.
  • Big 12: Wins: Mizz, at Kan St, and Ok St, Iowa St  Losses: at Neb, at Okla, KU, at Bay, at Mizz
  • The Buffs get Texas and Kansas still. They might have to beat both or get to 10 Big 12 wins and win a game or two in the Big 12 tourney to have a chance. Their OOC profile is too bad to give them a reasonable chance.

 

Better Win the Conference Tournament:

Iowa State Cyclones RPI 144

  • 14-10, 1-8 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-2 with decent wins over Creighton and Virginia and losses to Northern Iowa and Cal. They also have 9 gimme wins. RPI 105, schedule 308.
  • They essentially need to win the Big 12 tourney.

Oklahoma Sooners RPI 117

  • 12-10, 4-4 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-6 with no good wins and a horrible loss to Chaminade. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 187, schedule 243.
  • A winning record makes them NIT eligible and the RPI is moving up into range for a bid.

Texas Tech Red Raiders RPI 150

  • 11-13, 3-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-7 with no good wins and some bad losses. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 223, schedule 222.
  • Pat Knight might save his job with 6 or 7 Big 12 wins.

That’s this week’s Big 12 overview. This will be updated next week.

Make sure you check in every morning for a review of the previous day’s games on the Road to Selection Sunday.

Big 12 Basketball Overview January 30

January 30, 2011 1 comment

"The Beard" ran into trouble in Allen Fieldhouse

Welcome to the weekly Big 12 college basketball overview, taking a look at each teams results and how they are positioned for postseason play. Saturday wasn’t a good day for the bubble teams in the Big 12. K-State and Oklahoma State can’t afford too many more losses. Nebraska is lurking and Iowa State looks done. Colorado and Baylor are hanging around as well. Here’s a quick look some interesting items from this week:

Team Overviews: Records are going into January 31st. RPI is courtesy of rpiforecast.com.

Current NCAA Locks:

Kansas Jayhawks RPI 1

  • 20-1, 5-1 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 15-0 with good wins over Arizona, UCLA, USC, and Michigan. They also have 4 gimme wins. RPI 3, schedule 31.
  • Big 12: Wins: at Iowa St, Neb, at Bay, at Colo, Kan St     Losses: Texas
  • They Jayhawks need 9 more total wins to secure one of the four #1 seeds in the Big Dance. It will take at least 4 more losses to drop them below a Sweet 16 seed.  

Texas Longhorns RPI 11

  • 18-3, 6-0 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with good wins over Illinois, North Carolina, and Michigan St and losses to Pitt, USC, and UConn. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 33, schedule 66.
  • Big 12: Wins: at Tex Tech, Okla, Texas A&M, at Kan, at Okla St, Mizz
  • The Horns are still in the running for a #1 seed. Getting 10 more wins will put them in the discussion. They might have to beat out Kansas to get that #1, otherwise they are heading to a #2 seed with 9 or more wins.

Texas A&M Aggies RPI 16

  • 17-3, 4-2 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-1 solid wins over Temple and Washington and a decent loss to BC. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 31, schedule 173.
  • Big 12: Wins: at Okla, Okla St, Mizz, Kan St    Losses: at Texas, Nebraska
  • Classic look-ahead loss to Nebraska with the Longhorns coming in on Monday night. The Aggies have a decent OOC profile and need 8 more wins to remain in a Sweet 16 seed.

Missouri Tigers RPI 27

  • 17-4, 3-3 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 14-1 with good wins over Vanderbilt, Illinois, and Old Dominion with a solid loss to Georgetown. They also have 6 gimme wins and a non division I win. RPI 36, schedule 213.
  • Big 12: Wins: Neb, Kan St, Iowa St      Losses: at Colo, at Tex A&M, at Texas
  • The Tigers need to start winning on the road. They need another 9 or more wins to be in the Sweet 16 discussion. They still need 7 or more to be safe on Selection Sunday.

Bubble Territory:

Kansas State Wildcats RPI 41

  • 14-8, 2-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-3 with good wins over Virginia Tech, Gonzaga, and Wash St with losses to Duke, Florida, and UNLV. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 25, schedule 46.
  • Big 12: Wins: Tex Tech, Baylor      Losses: at Okla St, Colo, at Mizz, at Tex A&M, at Kan
  • It’s going to be tough to include the Wildcats in the Big Dance with a losing record in the Big 12. It’s possible, but not probable. They’ve played a really difficult Big 12 schedule so far, but they need to win some games on the road to get that record even. Their home games are must wins and next Saturday against Iowa St is also.

Oklahoma State Cowboys RPI 58

  • 14-7, 2-5 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with Missouri State being the only solid win and losses to Gonzaga and Virginia Tech. They also have 5 gimme wins. RPI 45, schedule 178.
  • Big 12: Wins: Kan St, Iowa St       Losses: at Tex A&M, at Colo, at Bay, Tex, at Tex Tech
  • That Tech loss could be devastating. They’re in this category for a reason. Unlike K-State, the Cowboys can’t finish at .500 and get in. They need at least 8 or more wins.

 

Needs To Get Hot:

Baylor Bears RPI 85

  • 14-6, 4-3 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 10-3 with no notable wins and decent losses to Gonzaga, Washington State, and Florida State. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 127, schedule 250.
  • Big 12: Wins: at Tex Tech, Okla, Okla St, Colo        Losses: at Iowa St, Kan, at Kan St
  • The Bears have 5 games against Texas, A&M, and Mizzou. They need a minimum of 3 wins in those games. They also need to get to 10-6 or better and win a game in the Big 12 tourney. It’s not going to be easy.

Nebraska Cornhuskers RPI 81

  • 15-5, 3-3 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 12-2 with a win over USC and losses to Vanderbilt and Davidson. They also have 8 gimme wins. RPI 130, schedule 323.
  • Big 12: Wins: Iowa St, Colo, Tex A&M      Losses: at Mizz, at Kan, at Tex Tech
  • They followed the bad loss to Tech with a good win over A&M. Their OOC schedule was a complete joke and the Huskers need at least 9 more wins to have a chance.

Colorado Buffaloes RPI 95

  • 14-8, 3-4 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 11-4 with no notable wins. They also have 8 gimme wins and a non-division I win. RPI 140, schedule 305.
  • Big 12: Wins: Mizz, at Kan St, and Okla St     Losses: at Neb, at Okla
  • The Buffs chances are on life support and they might only be able to lose once before the Big 12 finals. Their OOC profile is too bad to give them a reasonable chance.

 

Better Win the Conference Tournament:

Iowa State Cyclones RPI 127

  • 14-8, 1-6 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 13-2 with decent wins over Creighton and Virginia and losses to Northern Iowa and Cal. They also have 9 gimme wins. RPI 113, schedule 313.
  • They essentially need to win the Big 12 tourney.

Oklahoma Sooners RPI 120

  • 11-9, 3-3 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-6 with no good wins and a horrible loss to Chaminade. They also have 7 gimme wins. RPI 192, schedule 254.
  • A winning record makes them NIT eligible and the RPI is moving up into range for a bid.

Texas Tech Red Raiders RPI 149

  • 11-11, 3-4 in Big 12
  • OOC rundown: 8-7 with no good wins and some bad losses. They also have 6 gimme wins. RPI 213, schedule 186.
  • Pat Knight might save his job with 6 or 7 Big 12 wins.

That’s this week’s Big 12 overview. This will be updated next Sunday.

Make sure you check in every morning for a review of the previous day’s games on the Road to Selection Sunday.